Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.047637 0.054580 0.061811 0.069874 0.078584 0.087680 0.097867
2025-03-16 0.033225 0.042725 0.053316 0.065849 0.080131 0.095768 0.114048
2025-03-23 0.026899 0.038216 0.051563 0.068109 0.087725 0.109926 0.136642
2025-03-30 0.022096 0.034479 0.049855 0.069692 0.093993 0.122233 0.156983
2025-04-06 0.019201 0.032548 0.049864 0.072947 0.101961 0.136368 0.179417
2025-04-13 0.015523 0.028935 0.047205 0.072424 0.104973 0.144363 0.194462
2025-04-20 0.014365 0.028653 0.048789 0.077237 0.114589 0.160381 0.219222
2025-04-27 0.011394 0.025184 0.045611 0.075436 0.115537 0.165562 0.230727
2025-05-04 0.010192 0.024293 0.045936 0.078256 0.122406 0.178117 0.251331
2025-05-11 0.008320 0.021960 0.043891 0.077590 0.124531 0.184591 0.264360
2025-05-18 0.007315 0.020977 0.043762 0.079540 0.130106 0.195463 0.282932
2025-05-25 0.006421 0.020039 0.043590 0.081349 0.135450 0.206038 0.301176
2025-06-01 0.004653 0.017076 0.040043 0.078238 0.134261 0.208530 0.309808
2025-06-08 0.003205 0.014335 0.036545 0.074975 0.132742 0.210577 0.317980
2025-06-15 0.002763 0.013864 0.036965 0.077774 0.139891 0.224276 0.341399
2025-06-22 0.002281 0.013128 0.036807 0.079607 0.145646 0.236143 0.362535
2025-06-29 0.002032 0.012980 0.037727 0.083186 0.153987 0.251596 0.388499
2025-07-06 0.001484 0.011653 0.036198 0.082627 0.156159 0.258605 0.403361
2025-07-13 0.001434 0.012029 0.038109 0.087864 0.167043 0.277689 0.434358
2025-07-20 0.000946 0.010475 0.035858 0.085908 0.167023 0.281658 0.445248
2025-07-27 0.000812 0.010305 0.036522 0.088973 0.174647 0.296309 0.470502
2025-08-03 0.000541 0.009243 0.035081 0.088249 0.176406 0.302732 0.484726
2025-08-10 0.000426 0.008906 0.035246 0.090367 0.182566 0.315384 0.507413